They get the three points, whatever the expected goals may show or any metrics in regards to it. In football, the final score doesn't always tell the whole story due to the low-scoring nature of the sport. We suggest that you watch the match, or at the least the highlights once the match is over. But keep in mind that you can expect teams or players that outperform their xG data to eventually return to their basic stats over time. This can reduce their xG but doesn't mean they aren't performing well, especially if they've managed to hold it until the end. This is true even if they were close decisions and had a good chance of scoring a goal. However, false calls should now be less of an issue, especially due to the birth of VAR.Conclusion Just like other stats or metrics, it's best used in context alongside tactical or video analysis.
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